ForecasterEnten Harry Enten
Trying to see Ipsos build a narrative out of their polling data is a sight to behold reuters.com/article/2012/0… Bounce receding? No/yes? Maybe?

September 2, 2012 #

electionate Nate Cohn
@ForecasterEnten lol

September 2, 2012 #

MysteryPollster Mark Blumenthal
@electionate @ForecasterEnten or, in a word, noise.

September 2, 2012 #

stevesingiser Steve Singiser
@ForecasterEnten : The next two days will be instructive. If Ras is the only one showing a real bounce, that'll look pretty suspect.

September 2, 2012 #

ForecasterEnten Harry Enten
@stevesingiser I'd like to see their internals... The RV number to be specific.

September 2, 2012 #

stevesingiser Steve Singiser
@ForecasterEnten : Ras? Well, they weight by party, and just gave Rs a nice bump there. R+4. Has not happened in four decades... :)

September 2, 2012 #

ForecasterEnten Harry Enten
@stevesingiser no, no... ipsos... Ras is its own story.

September 2, 2012 #

stevesingiser Steve Singiser
@ForecasterEnten : Good question. Weird thing was that shifting RV/LV gap this week. Was huge, then gone. What the heck?

September 2, 2012 #

ForecasterEnten Harry Enten
@stevesingiser based on the clues I'm reading from the reuters' article, i wudn't be shocked if Rom was ahead in RV and tied in LV. (1/2)

September 2, 2012 #

ForecasterEnten Harry Enten
@stevesingiser It means you got an index model going on with cutting some folks off... U ever read up on Gallup in 2000?

September 2, 2012 #

stevesingiser Steve Singiser
@ForecasterEnten : No. What happened?

September 2, 2012 #

ForecasterEnten Harry Enten
@stevesingiser columbia.edu/~rse14/Erikson… f-ing nutty stuff...

September 2, 2012 #

stevesingiser Steve Singiser
@ForecasterEnten : Interesting stuff. Especially when you think about how early everyone went to LVs this year.

September 2, 2012 #